2012年2月26日 星期日

經濟學人英翻中~Yahoo知識+翻譯


1. Goldman is particularly bullish on copper, predicting a “12% upside for copper on a six-month horizon and reiterat[ing] our long copper trade recommendation ”. The US investment bank also maintains its long zinc recommendation , predicting a 10% expected upside on a 12-month basis. It forecasts year-end copper prices of $8,567/ton, up from $7,991 on January 13; $2,321 for aluminium (up from $2,114) and $2,104 for zinc (up from $1,954).
高盛特別看多銅金屬的市場,預測6個月的期間內將上漲12%,而我們重申對銅金屬市場看多的建議。美國投資銀行也維持對鋅市場的建議,預期在12個月期間將上漲10%。它預期年底的銅價將自1月13日的$7,991美元/噸,漲到8,567美元/噸,鋁價為$2,321美元(從2,114美元起漲),而鋅價為2104美元(從1,954美元起漲)。


2. Nevertheless, despite this apparently sunny outlook, Goldman has in fact revised down significantly its previous annual price forecasts for 2012, which were released in October 2011, before the sharp fourth-quarter declines, which it failed to predict.   
雖然前景看好,高盛事實上在2011年10月公佈的報告中,就在第4季急劇衰退的情況下,而大幅調降2012年的預期價格。


3. Bank of America-Merrill Lynch projects year-end copper prices at $7,750/ton; aluminium at $2,275 and zinc at $2,075, for example. Its 2012 GDP forecasts for China – 8.6% - is also very much at the higher end of analyst expectations – many other projections plot GDP growth as being much closer  to the 8% mark this year.
美林銀行預測年底的銅金屬價格為$7,750美元/噸、鋁價為$2,275美元,而鋅價為$2,075美元。對中國的2012GDP預測為8.6%,屬分析師的預測中算是非常高的,而對今年許多其他的預測報告,大部份都是近8%。

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